Section: Module 5: Lesson 1: Infectious Disease Modelling | Pandemic Etiology, Preparedness, and Response | NextGenU.org
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Student Learning Outcomes:
Upon completion of this lesson, you will be able to:- Explain the use of mathematical models to describe infectious disease transmission and control internationally.
- Identify which outbreak/pandemics-related concerns in public health policy and practice can be addressed by model-based approaches.
- Examine the main challenges and limitations of implementing modeling approaches in pandemic preparedness and response.
- Assess the value of utilizing model-based approaches in the development of pandemic preparedness and response plans.
Click here to start this lesson-
Read the content under the heading "What makes modeling efforts successful: past examples." (16 minutes)
The Lancet
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Read the content under the heading "The role of modeling in current pandemic response policy." (6 minutes)
Public Library of Science
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Watch the entire video. (4 minutes)
WHO
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Read the entire article. (12 minutes)
JAMA Network
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Read the content under the heading "Models in Pandemics." (23 minutes)
British Medical Journal
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Read the content under the headings "1. Introduction," "2. Current role and potential opportunities for modeling in public health decision-making," and "Linking model results to public health policy around infectious diseases. (11 minutes)
NCBI -
In this activity, you will evaluate the use of model-based approaches to improve pandemic preparedness and response.
Instructions
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Reflect on the topic using initial readings in the course, previous knowledge, or other sources that have expanded your knowledge.
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Prepare a 500 - 650 word paper to summarize your reflections. You should:
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Evaluate whether the use of model-based approaches has contributed significantly to improving pandemic preparedness and response efforts based on two real-life scenarios.
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You must cite and reference at least two credible sources. All references should follow the 7th Edition APA formatting. For further instructions, see the resource on the Himmelfarb Health Sciences Library: APA citation resource (N.B. references are excluded from word counts).
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The paper should be written in Times New Roman, point 12, and double spaced. Submit the paper along with a cover page and reference.
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To submit your work, click on the “Add a new discussion topic” button under this post and paste your work in the “message” box.
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OPTIONAL: Interact (10 minutes)
If you would like to, you can reply to your peers' posts in a respectful and professional manner. Ensure that your post engages your peers' ideas by including a reflection on their comments, sharing ideas of other potential difficulties and parties involved, or asking thought-provoking questions. If a peer comments on your posting, please reply. To post a reply, click “Reply” on a particular discussion, write your feedback and then click on “Post to forum.”
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Quiz: Module 5
To access the quiz, click on the name of the quiz provided above. On the following screen, click the attempt quiz button to view the case studies and respond to the questions.
TO PASS THIS QUIZ YOU MUST OBTAIN A SCORE OF 80%.
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This model was developed by modelers at the Imperial College of London. If you have time, you may explore the model by adjusting different parameters and observing how the predicted outcomes vary to enhance your understanding of how mathematical models can be used during pandemics.
ExploSYS GmbH