Section: Module 5: Lesson 4: Overview of Correlation and Regression Analysis | Biostatistics | NextGenU.org

  • Learning Objectives
    • Be able (1) to distinguish between correlation, linear and multiple regression, and logistic regression, and (2) to understand the purpose and methods of linear (simple and multiple) and logistic regression, including when to use each of them.
    • Be able to specify regression models and interpret regression results.
    Approximate time required for the readings in this lesson (at 144 words/minute): 1 hour

    Click here to start this module

    • Required Learning Resources and Activities
      • Read the entire article.
      • Be able (1) to distinguish between correlation, linear and multiple regression, as well as logistic regression, and (2) to understand the purpose and methods of linear (simple and multiple) and logistic regression including when to use each of them

      • The fitted equation from a study on infant head circumference is as follows:


      head circumference = 1.76 + 0.86×gestational age - 2.82×toxemia

      + 0.046×(gestational age×toxemia)


      where gestational age is measured in weeks and toxemia is an indicator variable for the mother’s toxemia status during pregnancy (1=had toxemia).

          • For infants whose mothers did not have toxemia during pregnancy, what is the effect of an extra two weeks of gestation? What about for those whose mothers had toxemia?
          • What other information or calculations would you need to decide whether to include this effect in the final model?
          • What effect does the last term represent? How would you interpret this effect?

      • Be able to specify regression models and interpret regression results

      • Consider the following hypothetical scenario: Two experimental treatments (A and B) are administered to patients having just suffered a stroke.  After a few months, the following data is obtained (Table 1). A multivariate logistic regression model is later constructed from this data (Table 2). Answer questions 1-9 based on this information.


      Table 1: Effect of treatment on stroke survival by smoking status

      Patients


      Treatment A

      Treatment B

      Total

      Non-smokers

      No. of deaths

      46

      8

      54

      No. of survivors

      105

      37

      142

      Total

      151

      45

      196

      Smokers

      No. of deaths

      105

      15

      120

      No. of survivors

      160

      81

      241

      Total

      265

      96

      361



      Table 2: Results from a multivariate logistic regression based on data from Table 1 (Reference group = non-smokers, treatment B)

      Parameter

      Fitted value of β

      Intercept
      (Ref. group: non-smoker, treatment B)  

      β0 = -1.856

      Smoking status

      β1 = 0.314

      Treatment option

      β2 = 1.090



      Questions

      1. From Table 1, calculate the odds ratio of death for non-smokers under treatment A .
      2. From Table 1, calculate the odds ratio of death for smokers under treatment B.
      3. Explain in words what these odds ratios mean.
      4. From Table 2, write the corresponding multivariate logistic regression equation. Indicate what the variables mean and which values they can take.
      5. Calculate the odds of death and the probability of death for non-smokers under treatment B.
      6. Calculate the odds of death and the probability of death for smokers under treatment B.
      7. Calculate the odds of death and the probability of death for non-smokers under treatment A.
      8. Calculate the odds of death and the probability of death for smokers under treatment A.
      9. What is the sum of all the probabilities?
      • Be able to specify regression models and interpret regression results

    • To access the quiz, click on the name of the quiz provided above. On the following screen, click the "Preview quiz now" button to view the case studies and respond to the questions.

    • Additional Learning Options
    • resource icon
      Answer key. Linear regression problem 1 File
      Not available unless: The activity Peer Activity 7: Linear Regression Problem 1 is marked complete
    • resource icon
      Answer key. Linear regression problem 2 File
      Not available unless: The activity Peer Activity 8: Linear Regression Problem 2 is marked complete